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30661-01 - Vorlesung: Time Series Analysis II 3 KP

Semester Herbstsemester 2015
Angebotsmuster Jedes Herbstsemester
Dozierende Christian Kleiber (christian.kleiber@unibas.ch, BeurteilerIn)
Inhalt Contents:
The course will cover selected topics beyond the AR(I)MA basics introduced in Time Series Analysis I (TSA I). This course may be seen as an introduction to time series econometrics, whereas TSA I is meant to be an introduction to time series and forecasting in a wider sense. Of course, TSA II requires the contents of TSA I as a prerequisite. Empirical illustrations will make use of the R language for statistical computing and graphics, see http://www.R-project.org/, hence basic knowledge of this software package is expected.

Topics may include (some of) unit roots, volatility models (GARCH-type models), vector autoregressions (VARs), cointegration, structural change, structural time series models, nonlinear time series models, etc. Details may depend on the interests of the audience. Suggestions are welcome!
Lernziele Learning objectives:
Basic time series econometrics beyond (univariate) ARIMA modeling, notably volatility models and basics of multivariate models.
Literatur Some references (the course will not necessarily follow a specific text!):

Chan NH (2010). Time Series: Applications to Finance with R and S-Plus, 2nd ed. Wiley.

Cryer JD, Chan KS (2008). Time Series Analysis, with Examples in R, 2nd ed. Springer. [Available in electronic form via the university library.]

Franses PH, van Dijk D, Opschoor A (2014). Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting, 2nd ed. Oxford Univ. Press.

Ruppert D, Matteson DS (2015). Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering, 2nd ed. New York: Springer. [Available in electronic form via the university library.]

Tsay RS (2010). Analysis of Financial Time Series, 3rd ed. Wiley.
Weblink Weblink

 

Teilnahmebedingungen Prerequisites:
Time Series Analysis I (not necessarily the course in HS 2015, but students must be familiar with the content!)
Anmeldung zur Lehrveranstaltung Registration: Please enrol in MOnA. EUCOR-Students and Exchange-Students have to enrol at the students administration office (studsek@unibas.ch) within the official enrolment period. Enrolment = Registration for the exam! A deregistration is possible until november 13th, 2015 by email to studiendekanat-wwz@unibas.ch.
Unterrichtssprache Englisch
Einsatz digitaler Medien kein spezifischer Einsatz

 

Intervall Wochentag Zeit Raum

Keine Einzeltermine verfügbar, bitte informieren Sie sich direkt bei den Dozierenden.

Module Modul Statistik und Computational Science (Master Actuarial Science)
Spezialisierungsmodul: Areas of Specialization in International and/or Monetary Economics (Master International and Monetary Economics)
Vertiefungsmodul Quantitative Methods (Master Wirtschaftswissenschaften)
Leistungsüberprüfung Semesterendprüfung
Hinweise zur Leistungsüberprüfung Notes for the Assessment:
Written exam. In addition, there will be at least two assignments, for which students may work in groups of two. Each assignment will account for 10% of the final grade.
Wriiten exam: 18.01.16; 12:15 -14:00. WWZ S15: A-Z.
You can still withdraw from the examination by submitting a completed, signed form to our office from 13.10.15 until 23.10.15 / 12:00 o’clock. Withdrawals sent by email will not be accepted. You will find the examination withdrawal form on the Homepage of the Student Dean’s Office. Prior to 12.10.15, please only use MONA for withdrawing. The exam rooms will be published up to 03.12.15.
An-/Abmeldung zur Leistungsüberprüfung Anmelden: Belegen; Abmelden: Studiendekanat
Wiederholungsprüfung keine Wiederholungsprüfung
Skala 1-6 0,1
Wiederholtes Belegen beliebig wiederholbar
Zuständige Fakultät Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät / WWZ, studiendekanat-wwz@unibas.ch
Anbietende Organisationseinheit Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät

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